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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

Report for Friday, July 4, 2025

Expert Q&A: Former CENTCOM Commander on U.S. Troops in the Middle East.

Rubio postpones trip to Japan, South Korea to focus on Middle East.

Trump meets with Saudi defense minister to discuss Iran.

Russia pounds Kyiv with war’s largest drone attack after Trump-Putin talk yields no breakthrough.

Germany prepares €25 billion tank order to boost NATO forces.

Russia becomes the first country to recognize the Taliban government of Afghanistan.

Access the Report

Can President Trump Get a "Big, Beautiful" Deal in the Middle East?

Experts weight in ahead of Israeli Prime Minister's VIsit to the White House

Can President Trump Get a "Big, Beautiful" Deal in the Middle East?
CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – When Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump meet at the White House Monday, they will bring different ideas for resolving two [...] More

The Experts

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

To Counter China, Reform U.S. Intelligence for the Digital Age

Jennifer Ewbank

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION -- The United States is facing a quiet and rapidly growing threat across the digital landscape, an unseen mathematical [...] More

Expert Q&A: Former CENTCOM Commander on U.S. Troops in the Middle East

General Frank McKenzie (Ret.)

EXPERT Q&A — The American force posture in the Middle East — some 40,000 troops spread across the region — came into focus following the 12-day war [...] More

News & Analysis

The U.S. Has 40,000 Troops in the Middle East

The U.S. Has 40,000 Troops in the Middle East

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING -- Recent U.S. strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities propelled the 40,000 American forces in the region into the spotlight [...] More

Opinion

The Peacewalkers: How the West Went to War in 2022

“The protagonists of 1914 were sleepwalkers, watchful but unseeing, haunted by dreams, yet blind to the reality of the horror they were about to [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

The Problem with Iran’s Proxies

Interview with Glenn Corn, Former Senior CIA Officer

Lessons from Israel’s Stunning Intelligence Operation

Interview with Beth Sanner, Former Deputy Director for National Intelligence, ODNI

When it Comes to Iran, “We Have Plans”

Interview with General Frank McKenzie (Ret.), Former Commander, U.S. Central Command

Iran’s Next Move

Interview with Norm Roule, Middle East Expert, Former National Intelligence Manager for Iran, ODNI

Book Reviews

IN THIS WEEK’S EDITION: We’re wishing the U.S. a very happy birthday and sending our gratitude to those who are working overseas to help keep the homeland safe. In this week’s collection, a look at what some of those troops are doing in the Middle East, we think we found the pilot with the coolest call sign and we’re not gonna tell you what to read this summer, but we will tell you what the experts are reading.WHAT ARE ALL THOSE U.S. TROOPS DOING IN THE MIDDLE EAST: Serving overseas can be a dangerous job, as we were reminded after the U.S. strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities, when fears were heightened that U.S. [...] More

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Events

Live Events

Threat Conference

Threat Conference

Cipher Brief sessions are expertly crafted and focused on ways the public and private sectors can most efficiently work together to address key [...] More

Upcoming: 19 October, 2025

Podcasts

State Secrets



Writing a book was something former senior CIA Officer Rob Dannenberg never thought he’d do, but as he started reflecting on the ways he and his former colleagues would celebrate the successful recruitment of a new agent or the end of an operation that he couldn’t talk about, he started thinking about the cocktails he and his colleagues would order to mark the occasion. Dannenberg recruited former colleague Joseph Mullin, CSW to help him compile not only the best recipes for the cocktails that defined their careers, but also for the stories that make them all the tastier.

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment


Martin Dugard is an enormously prolific, best-selling author. In addition to ten mega-million selling books co-authored with Bill O’Reilly, He has authored a fistful of books about World War II including “Taking London,” “Taking Berlin” and “Taking Paris.” Now he is back with “Taking Midway: Naval Warfare, Secret Codes, and the Battle That Turned the Tide of World War II.” Podcast host Bill Harlow will talk with him about his sources and methods for cranking out so many deeply researched and well-received books – and what the world should know about a crusty 4-star admiral and a quirky Navy commander who combined to surprise the Imperial Japanese Navy and the world in one of the most consequential naval battles in history.